NHL Predictions November 7, 2026: Top Edges and Close Calls

Advance or Exit favors Carolina Hurricanes at 70.1%, the strongest model pick among the supplied NHL predictions for November 7, 2026. Edmonton Oilers follow at 65.7%, with Dallas Stars next at 61.9%. Those are model estimates, not promises of a result.

The slate is listed as 10 games, but matchup-level facts are available for only eight. This roundup covers those eight without filling in the missing games. All listed start times are Mountain Time, and every matchup is a regular-season game.

NHL picks ranked by win probability

The supplied predictions favor seven home teams and one road team. Here are the key numbers, ordered by the selected team's estimated chance of winning:

• Carolina Hurricanes: 70.1% — High confidence; projected total 5.4.
• Edmonton Oilers: 65.7% — Medium confidence; projected total 7.1.
• Dallas Stars: 61.9% — High confidence; projected total 5.6.
• Colorado Avalanche: 57.5% — Medium confidence; projected total 6.6.
• Minnesota Wild: 56.5% — Medium confidence; projected total 6.6.
• Toronto Maple Leafs: 54.7% — Medium confidence; projected total 8.6.
• Los Angeles Kings: 52.3% — Medium confidence; projected total 7.2.
• New Jersey Devils: 52.2% — Medium confidence; projected total 6.7.

Probability and confidence are separate fields in these projections. Dallas Stars receive a High confidence label despite having a lower win probability than Edmonton Oilers. The supplied facts do not explain the confidence-label methodology, so the ranking above uses win probability consistently.

Strongest edges: Carolina Hurricanes and Edmonton Oilers

Chicago Blackhawks at Carolina Hurricanes — 6:00 PM MT. Carolina Hurricanes enter at 12-3-2 with an L1 form marker, while Chicago Blackhawks are 4-11-1 and carry an L4 marker. The projection is Carolina Hurricanes 4, Chicago Blackhawks 1.4, alongside the slate's strongest supplied favorite probability.

The availability notes list Carolina Hurricanes defenseman Alexander Nikishin as day-to-day and Chicago Blackhawks right wing Patrick Kane as out. Chicago Blackhawks still hold a 29.9% win estimate, an important counterweight to the strongest favorite designation.

Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers — 8:00 PM MT. Edmonton Oilers have an 11-2-3 record and an L1 marker; Vancouver Canucks are 3-13-1 with an L3 marker. The projected score is Edmonton Oilers 4.5, Vancouver Canucks 2.6.

Both teams have day-to-day availability notes: goalie Tristan Jarry for Edmonton Oilers and defenseman Tom Willander for Vancouver Canucks. The 65.7% pick comes with Medium confidence, and the listed goalie status should not be treated as confirmation of a starter.

Three more home favorites to compare

San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars — 6:00 PM MT. Dallas Stars are 9-5-1 with a W2 marker, compared with 7-9-1 and L3 for San Jose Sharks. The model projects Dallas Stars 3.6, San Jose Sharks 2. Dallas Stars defenseman Miro Heiskanen is out, and center Sam Steel is day-to-day. The 61.9% estimate remains the third-highest supplied pick, with High confidence.

Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche — 7:00 PM MT. Colorado Avalanche are 9-6-1, while Detroit Red Wings are 7-6-3; both carry L1 markers. The projection is Colorado Avalanche 3.7, Detroit Red Wings 2.9, with a 57.5% home win estimate. Colorado Avalanche defenseman Josh Manson is out, and Detroit Red Wings goalie John Gibson is day-to-day.

Tampa Bay Lightning at Minnesota Wild — 6:00 PM MT. Minnesota Wild enter at 11-3-3 with a W2 marker. Tampa Bay Lightning are 9-3-2 with a W1 marker. The projected score is Minnesota Wild 3.7, Tampa Bay Lightning 2.9. Minnesota Wild center Michael McCarron is day-to-day. At 56.5%, this is a modest home preference rather than an overwhelming separation.

Highest total and the narrowest winner estimates

Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs — 5:00 PM MT. The projected score of Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Montreal Canadiens 3.6 produces the highest supplied total, 8.6. Yet Toronto Maple Leafs have only a 54.7% win estimate. A high scoring projection should not be confused with strong confidence in the winner.

Toronto Maple Leafs are 8-7-2 and Montreal Canadiens are 9-3-3, both with L1 markers. Montreal Canadiens defenseman Mike Matheson is out.

Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings — 7:00 PM MT. Los Angeles Kings are 5-7-2 with a W1 marker; Pittsburgh Penguins are 5-8-2 with an L3 marker. The model projects Los Angeles Kings 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3.2, but assigns the home team just 52.3%. No availability notes were supplied for this matchup; that is not confirmation of full availability.

New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders — 5:00 PM MT. The only supplied road pick is also the narrowest favorite, at 52.2%. New Jersey Devils are 10-5 with a W2 marker, while New York Islanders are 7-5-2 with an L1 marker. The projection is New York Islanders 2.7, New Jersey Devils 4. New York Islanders defenseman Ryan Pulock is out.

How Advance or Exit projections and simulations work

Advance or Exit's supplied model outputs pair win probabilities with projected scores, totals and confidence labels. Decimal scores are projections, not literal final-score predictions. No betting prices are supplied, so these estimates alone do not establish betting value.

The underlying model architecture, simulation count and treatment of availability are not specified here. Consequently, these notes should not be read as proof of how much any individual absence changed a prediction.

To run your own basic winner simulations, use each matchup's supplied home and away probabilities to weight two possible outcomes, repeatedly sample a winner, and tally the results. This illustrates the uncertainty in the estimates; it does not recreate Advance or Exit's underlying model or simulate exact scores. Compare those results with the published probabilities, keeping the narrow picks distinct from the stronger favorites.